Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 5.606984 6.184355 6.799907 7.505766 8.293757 9.147432 10.143714
2025-12-21 4.644468 5.442975 6.352979 7.470140 8.809223 10.368319 12.329219
2025-12-28 4.081392 5.031415 6.176433 7.666075 9.564433 11.918079 15.080933
2026-01-04 3.643474 4.688050 6.008417 7.814049 10.240908 13.420669 17.953022
2026-01-11 3.260681 4.352051 5.789187 7.841441 10.731415 14.707505 20.681627
2026-01-18 2.922649 4.026983 5.534020 7.769583 11.050522 15.766015 23.196532
2026-01-25 2.633945 3.732896 5.280910 7.656853 11.276225 16.688739 25.598228
2026-02-01 2.388185 3.471469 5.041717 7.527553 11.445600 17.522867 27.940567
2026-02-08 2.176676 3.237831 4.816710 7.388268 11.571041 18.283189 30.234829
2026-02-15 2.014896 3.062909 4.661136 7.335343 11.817692 19.249069 32.976683
2026-02-22 1.919302 2.980623 4.639031 7.489255 12.412105 20.845757 37.015287
2026-03-01 1.792322 2.836794 4.504663 7.440722 12.650621 21.844882 40.080891
2026-03-08 1.649561 2.658718 4.304068 7.268205 12.667270 22.474683 42.584398
2026-03-15 1.544814 2.535456 4.184584 7.225343 12.912174 23.549844 46.115896
2026-03-22 1.488754 2.489850 4.192841 7.410056 13.596068 25.531535 51.782163
2026-03-29 1.429992 2.434472 4.178616 7.550580 14.208415 27.442752 57.586901
2026-04-05 1.358824 2.351351 4.107542 7.576016 14.595061 28.940669 62.707879
2026-04-12 1.280413 2.249129 3.993210 7.506412 14.780378 30.037760 67.077259
2026-04-19 1.203574 2.144110 3.865339 7.397701 14.871567 30.940423 71.121007
2026-04-26 1.131208 2.042269 3.735641 7.273145 14.914848 31.739729 75.032078
2026-05-03 1.063592 1.944756 3.606989 7.139019 14.922562 32.457291 78.846453
2026-05-10 1.010936 1.872363 3.521905 7.088049 15.108145 33.604982 83.958268
2026-05-17 0.984065 1.848243 3.530318 7.236204 15.758772 35.930372 92.613020